And I mean that literally. Here’s a video of the shenanigans where the chair clearly doesn’t have the necessary 2/3rds majority to make a change. He just decides that he does, and rules that way. Sounds a lot like the authoritarian bullshit the GOP pulled with Ron Paul delegates:
This was dumb on a number of levels. First, it takes the party off message during the convention away from the economy, which is actually one of Obama’s stronger talking points given the 1+ million new jobs this year and nearly 4 million new jobs since the end of the recession. Second, it won’t stop false attacks against Obama on Israel or ugly attacks from the radical right on his faith.
A reader and friend asked me what I thought about a paper out of the University of Colorado projecting a (relatively) big win coming this fall for Mitt Romney in the electoral college, in this Q&A I did yesterday for anything and everything political. he paper, by political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry (hereby referred to as the Bickers-Berry model), seems heavily weighted by economic factors and predicts Romney winning every single swing state, for a 320-218 electoral vote victory.
Bickers and Berry are touting their model has correctly predicting every presidential election since 1980, but that’s misleading. This model (as Nate Silver notes below in a Tweet I’ll quote) is a new model, and hasn’t correctly predicted anything yet. It would have predicted past elections if it had existed before each of them took place, but that’s entirely different than claiming that it has already predicted them.
Here’s what I said in a very rushed analysis, without having read the paper:
A lot got left out of my analysis of Paul Ryan’s politics, because I thought the best angle to cover early on was one that would probably be ignored by the press, and abused endlessly by unofficial disinterested partisan hacks engaged in campaign warfare.
Oh, he’s such a right-wing radical American Taliban extremist. He’s going to end the world!
I’ll finally get my in-depth election analysis up next week, but for now, here are a few things to consider.
Off the top of my head, I only know of four sites that are running electoral college projections. Talking Points Memo, Pollster, CNN, and Real Clear Politics. Each site has its own methodology for assigning states to candidates based on the “safe”, “lean”, and “tossup” categories, and all can be argued with. For example, only TPM has Florida and its 29 electoral votes assigned to a candidate, even though Barack Obama is leading in Florida and has had more leads in polls than Mitt Romney has, in addition to winning Florida in 2008.
None of these sites shows Romney leading in the electoral math, and that is what decides the election.
It’s gotten to the point where GOP corruption and extremism has become so commonplace and all-encompassing that covering it requires a big picture view to see it all. If the equally corrupt and rotten media covered even a fraction of the crimes and scandals perpetrated by Republicans and those that support them, we wouldn’t have a Republican Party in this country. It’d have been banned as an unprecedented criminal conspiracy unrivaled anywhere in the civilized world.
On the days when I’m not writing original stories, I plan to collect the day’s bill of corruption, law breaking, and scandalous misdeeds of establishment Republicans and their allies in corporate America, in this, the Corruption Journal.