Tag Archives: Elections

Mitt Romney is in trouble

I’ll finally get my in-depth election analysis up next week, but for now, here are a few things to consider.

Off the top of my head, I only know of four sites that are running electoral college projections. Talking Points Memo, Pollster, CNN, and Real Clear Politics. Each site has its own methodology for assigning states to candidates based on the “safe”, “lean”, and “tossup” categories, and all can be argued with. For example, only TPM has Florida and its 29 electoral votes assigned to a candidate, even though Barack Obama is leading in Florida and has had more leads in polls than Mitt Romney has, in addition to winning Florida in 2008.

None of these sites shows Romney leading in the electoral math, and that is what decides the election.

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